Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin

Matteo Arnaldi

ITA

3

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

Height

6'5" (196 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$2.4M

Career Money

$5.2M

Plays

Right-Handed

Alexei Popyrin

AUS

3

Win

Played

1

Win

Age

Height

6'5" (196 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$2.4M

Career Money

$5.2M

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-To-Head: Arnaldi 3 - 1 Popyrin

They have played 11 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 7 and Alexei Popyrin winning 4. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 31-12-2024, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-2.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Arnaldi	3
Popyrin	1

Last H2H Matches:

(R1) Brisbane International - Brisbane(12-31-24)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

(Rubber 1) Davis Cup, World Group, F, AUS-ITA 0-2(11-26-23)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

(R1) Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai(10-05-23)

Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

Alexei Popyrin

M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin H2H Profile

M. Arnaldi	Stats	A. Popyrin
$2,448,680	Career Prize Money	$5,247,870
60.31% (234-154)	Career Total W/L	55.32% (291-235)
0	Clay	1
2	Hard	0
1	Indoor	0
6	Titles	6
3	Total H2H Matches	1
47.37% (18-20)	YTD Win/Loss	47.22% (17-19)

M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.39% of points on their second serve, while Alexei Popyrin has won 46.18%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Matteo Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 44.34% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alexei Popyrin has won 44.66%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.94% and 23.62% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Matteo Arnaldi has saved 59.82% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alexei Popyrin has saved 63.97% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.19% of matches played (W/L 19/ 24), with Alexei Popyrin winning 45.45% (W/L 19/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 132/ 70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 38% (W/L 15/ 25). Alexei Popyrin has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 85/ 64), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 48% (W/L 22/ 24).
Player level: In the last year, Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 45.00% of matches (W/L 9/ 11), where as Alexei Popyrin has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 57.14% of matches (W/L 12/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Matteo Arnaldi winning 3 times and Alexei Popyrin being victorious 1 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 7 and Alexei Popyrin winning 4. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 31-12-2024, Round: R1, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-2.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:16:55.
Deciding set H2H prediction: Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin have played a deciding set 3 times, with Matteo Arnaldi winning 2 times and Alexei Popyrin 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Matteo Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 55.37 while Alexei Popyrin has played against players with an average rank of 81.5.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alexei Popyrin has won 44% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Matteo Arnaldi has converted 26.09% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alexei Popyrin has converted 22.28% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

M. Arnaldi	Stats	A. Popyrin
3	H2H Matches Won	1
7	Sets Won	4
58	Games Won	52
25	Aces (Total)	29
18	Total Double Faults	12
2:16:55	Avg. Match Time	2:16:55
53% (197/372)	1st Serve %	60% (205/339)
69% (136/197)	1st Serve Win %	73% (149/205)
54% (95/175)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (63/134)
48% (12/25)	Break Pts Won %	24% (10/42)
37% (127/339)	Return Pts Won %	38% (141/372)
75% (3/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	25% (1/4)
67% (2/3)	Deciding Set Win %	33% (1/3)
67% (2/3)	1st Set Won → Match Won	0% (0/1)
33% (1/3)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	33% (1/3)

Recent Performance Stats

M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Francisco CerundoloF. Cerundolo	L	3-6 2-6 7-5 6-4 6-3	Stats
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem - 18-08-2025
R2 Botic Van De ZandschulpB. Van	L	6-3 6-3	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R1 Benjamin BonziB. Bonzi	L	6-7(1) 6-3 6-4	Stats
National Bank Open - Toronto - 28-07-2025
R3 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	6-7(5) 6-3 6-2	Stats
R2 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate	W	6-3 3-6 6-3	Stats

View All

A. Popyrin Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R2 Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner	L	6-3 6-2 6-2	Stats
R1 Emil RuusuvuoriE. Ruusuvuori	W	6-3 6-4 7-6(3)	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R3 Andrey RublevA. Rublev	L	6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-5	Stats
R2 Martin LandaluceM. Landaluce	W	7-6(3) 6-3	Stats
National Bank Open - Toronto - 28-07-2025
QF Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	6-7(8) 6-4 6-3	Stats

View All

M. Arnaldi vs A. Popyrin Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

M. Arnaldi	Stats	A. Popyrin
60.31% (234/154)	YTD Win/Loss	55.32% (291/235)
58.17% (548/394)	Sets Win/Loss	53.56% (700/607)
52.67% (4712/4234)	Games Win/Loss	50.68% (6666/6488)
61.48% (83/52)	Hard Win/Loss	56.75% (143/109)
65.35% (132/70)	Clay Win/Loss	57.05% (85/64)
36.59% (15/26)	Indoor Hard W/L	51.90% (41/38)
40.00% (4/6)	Grass Win/Loss	47.83% (22/24)
0.35	Aces Per Game	0.6
1548	Aces Total	3900
0.25	Double Faults Per Game	0.27
1098	Total Double Faults	1712
1:45:28	Average Match Time	1:43:10
301.27	Average Opponent Rank	330.13
59% (15958/27164)	1st Serve %	60% (23688/39225)
68% (10903/15958)	1st Serve Win %	74% (17564/23688)
50% (5620/11201)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (7790/15538)
43% (1133/2650)	Break Points Won % (Total)	36% (1143/3166)
40% (10587/26526)	Return Points Win %	35% (13807/38965)
56.25% (18/14)	Slam W/L	50.00% (27/27)
55.56% (30/24)	Masters W/L	57.28% (59/44)
80.00% (4/1)	Cups W/L	57.14% (4/3)
48.39% (30/32)	Main Tour W/L	46.67% (77/88)
59.84% (73/49)	Challenger W/L	58.82% (70/49)
70.27% (78/33)	Futures W/L	69.33% (52/23)
61% (218/356)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	55% (257/465)
43% (12/28)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	48% (25/52)
57% (72/126)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	60% (159/267)
52% (67/130)	Deciding Set Win %	53% (98/186)
83% (236/195)	1st Set Won, Won Match	84% (269/225)
17% (236/41)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	16% (269/44)
25% (151/37)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	25% (256/64)